All Accelerators/Retail & FMCG/Demand & Supply Intelligence
14-Day Production Cutover
PRD 04 — Retail & FMCG

Demand & Supply Intelligence: Hierarchical SKU Demand Sensing, Promotion Intelligence & Store Rebalancing

Move beyond naive moving averages to probabilistic Bayesian demand planning and automated DC replenishment.

Product Thesis & Core Outcome

"Deliver granular SKU-store level demand forecasts incorporating promo uplift and weather anomalies, then generate feasible replenishment and DC rebalancing orders that maximize on-shelf availability."

TARGET BUYERS:VP of Supply ChainChief Commercial Officer (CCO)Head of Merchandise PlanningDemand Planning Director
PROVEN OPERATIONAL IMPACT

Benchmark Impact & Verified ROI

94.2%
SKU Forecast Accuracy
Hierarchical Bayesian model across 45,000 store-SKU nodes
-35%
Promo Stockout Incidents
Captures promotional uplift and cross-SKU cannibalization
-22%
Locked Working Capital
Eliminates excessive safety buffers on slow-moving inventory
+4.1%
Gross Margin Realization
Via proactive store-to-store lateral rebalancing
END-TO-END OPERATIONAL PIPELINE

How the Decision Engine Executes

From raw ERP and source system transactions into approved, constraint-validated execution write-backs.

STEP 01

POS & Sell-Out Ingestion

Ingests daily register transactions, store inventory, distributor sell-out, and e-commerce orders via Snowflake/Databricks.

STEP 02

Hierarchical Bayesian Sensing

Decomposes baseline demand, price elasticity, promotional uplift, local weather, and holiday calendar regressors.

STEP 03

Forecast-Value-Add (FVA) Audit

Evaluates automated model accuracy vs manual planner overrides to eliminate human bias and improve future cycles.

STEP 04

Multi-Echelon Inventory Optimization

Calculates dynamic safety stocks and reorder points across central warehouses, regional DCs, and retail stores.

STEP 05

Store / DC Rebalancing Solver

Generates lateral transshipment recommendations to move excess inventory from slow stores to stockout-risk locations.

STEP 06

ERP Purchase & Transfer Orders

Approved replenishment schedules are pushed directly into SAP IBP, Blue Yonder, or Oracle NetSuite for execution.

MODULAR SUBSYSTEMS

Nested Accelerator Modules Included in this Pack

Activate the flagship engine standalone or combine with specialized department modules.

Uplift & Halo

Promotion Intelligence

Models promotional lift, baseline volume, halo sales, and cross-category cannibalization for trade marketing campaigns.

Multi-Echelon

Inventory & Replenishment Optimization

Sets dynamic service-level targets and optimal order quantities accounting for supplier lead-time variability.

Transshipment

Store / DC Rebalancing

Solves linear programming models to balance inventory across geographic nodes while minimizing inter-store freight costs.

Cold-Start AI

New Product Forecasting

Synthesizes demand curves for new SKU launches using attribute similarity matching against historical product lifecycles.

Shortage Solver

Allocation & Service Optimization

Fair-share constrained allocation algorithm prioritizing high-tier retail partners during national supply disruptions.

TECHNICAL CONTRACT

Canonical Data Model & Integrations

Built following the Seven Billion Retool & Python Decision Service standard.

Canonical Entities & Data Feeds

Core Entities
demand_factsku_dimensionstore_dc_locationpromo_calendarreplenishment_orderrebalancing_transfer
Input Feeds
  • Historical Point-of-Sale (POS) Data
  • Store & DC On-Hand Inventory Balances
  • Promotional & Marketing Calendars
  • Supplier Lead Times & Minimum Order Quantities (MOQ)
Output Artifacts
  • 14/30/90-Day Probabilistic Demand Forecasts
  • Recommended Store Replenishment Orders
  • DC-to-DC Stock Balancing Transfers
  • Vendor Purchase Order Requisitions

Scale & Enterprise Connectors

Synthetic Demo & Production Scope
Terra Retail Group & FMCG Brands
180 Stores, 6 Regional DCs, 14,000 SKUs, $450M Annual Revenue, Daily Automated Forecast Execution
Verified Integrations
SAP IBPBlue YonderOracle NetSuiteSnowflakeDatabricksTableauPowerBIShopify Plus
ARCHITECTURE QUESTIONS

Frequently Answered Specifications

14-DAY PRODUCTION PROTOTYPE SLA

Deploy Demand & Supply Intelligence in Your Private Cloud

Schedule an architecture session with our mathematical and AI systems engineers. We will inspect your ERP schemas and present a live shadow prototype.